Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | LONG +125 WIN -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -0.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -0.3 (+21.3) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -0.7 (+21.7) | 145.4 (-8.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -0.2 (+20.8) | 145.1 (-8.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -1.0 (+20.0) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | WIN 79 – 74 LONG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LONG 82 – 70 WIN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WIN 88 – 79 LONG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WIN 85 – 59 LONG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIN 95 – 76 LONG |
Game Analysis
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