Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | TOW -900 NE +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -13.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -9.8 (-2.8) | 131.0 (-2.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -11.1 (-4.1) | 133.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -11.3 (-4.3) | 133.6 (-4.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -12.7 (-5.7) | 131.1 (-2.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | TOW 87 – 78 NE |
| Jan 28, 2025 | TOW 75 – 65 NE |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TOW 80 – 73 NE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | TOW 83 – 76 NE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NE 67 – 59 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 11-5 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#74) | -5.4 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#69) | -1.05 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#75) | -1.26 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#59) | 0.451 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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