Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -3.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -1.5 (-0.5) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.4 (-1.4) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -2.3 (-1.3) | 149.5 (-4.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -2.5 (-1.5) | 147.5 (-2.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | -0.0 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#131) | 0.19 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#126) | -0.06 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#85) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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