Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -23.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +39 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -21.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -19.2 (+19.8) | 137.3 (+19.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -18.2 (+20.8) | 136.0 (+21.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -19.7 (+19.3) | 135.2 (+21.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -20.2 (+18.8) | 135.4 (+21.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#76) | -11.4 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#79) | -1.73 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#69) | -2.37 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#41) | 0.423 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 80.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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