Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +1 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -9.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -8.5 (-7.5) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.5 (-7.5) | 142.9 (+12.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -8.7 (-7.7) | 143.1 (+11.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -9.3 (-8.3) | 142.2 (+12.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PV 70 – 59 TXSO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PV 85 – 78 TXSO |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TXSO 80 – 68 PV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 63 PV |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 78 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#196) | -8.4 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#225) | -1.80 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#222) | -2.02 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#199) | 0.456 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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