Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -23.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -17.6 (-9.6) | 161.8 (+4.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -18.7 (-10.7) | 163.4 (+2.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -21.8 (-13.8) | 162.1 (+3.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -20.7 (-12.7) | 161.1 (+4.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SDST 84 – 69 OMA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-0 | 5-9 |
| Away | 10-3 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 84.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#72) | -15.3 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#41) | -2.60 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#59) | -3.43 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#22) | 0.402 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 44.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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