Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -5.8 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -1.2 (+15.2) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -1.7 (+15.7) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -1.9 (+15.9) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -1.7 (+15.7) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2023 | MEM 75 – 65 HOU |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOU 67 – 65 MEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | HOU 72 – 64 MEM |
| Mar 13, 2022 | HOU 71 – 53 MEM |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MEM 69 – 59 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 9-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 58.8 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#30) | 20.3 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#64) | 2.85 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#45) | 3.65 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#47) | 0.631 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.