Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -250 MEM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -9.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -6.2 (-16.2) | 136.4 (+3.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -6.0 (-16.0) | 132.9 (+7.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -7.3 (-17.3) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -6.7 (-16.7) | 133.8 (+6.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOU 67 – 65 MEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | HOU 72 – 64 MEM |
| Mar 13, 2022 | HOU 71 – 53 MEM |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MEM 75 – 61 HOU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MEM 69 – 59 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 11-0 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 21.4 (#1) | 12.1 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#1) | 2.22 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.88 (#1) | 3.00 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#2) | 0.599 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.