Houston
Cougars
71
–
53
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
Memphis
Tigers
Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | HOU -180 MEM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -7.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -5.2 (+12.8) | 136.1 (-12.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -4.6 (+13.4) | 133.7 (-9.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -5.1 (+12.9) | 138.4 (-14.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -4.8 (+13.2) | 135.4 (-11.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2023 | MEM 75 – 65 HOU |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOU 67 – 65 MEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | HOU 72 – 64 MEM |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MEM 75 – 61 HOU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MEM 69 – 59 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#3) | 12.6 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#19) | 1.82 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#17) | 2.60 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#7) | 0.585 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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