App State
Mountaineers
73
–
60
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Sun Belt
Georgia Southern
Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | APP -4.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -4.5 (+8.5) | 128.0 (+5.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -4.0 (+9.0) | 129.7 (+3.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -4.1 (+8.9) | 130.5 (+2.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -4.2 (+8.8) | 128.8 (+4.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | APP 89 – 74 GASO |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APP 81 – 65 GASO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GASO 61 – 59 APP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | APP 79 – 74 GASO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | APP 85 – 80 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APP | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | -4.7 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#134) | -0.47 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#135) | -0.83 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#83) | 0.461 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APP | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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