Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -6.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -7.4 (-1.4) | 147.3 (-5.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -6.7 (-0.7) | 147.6 (-5.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -6.4 (-0.4) | 147.2 (-5.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -6.5 (-0.5) | 148.1 (-6.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | SMU 87 – 79 TULN |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SMU 80 – 76 TULN |
| Feb 2, 2023 | TULN 74 – 52 SMU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TULN 97 – 88 SMU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SMU 75 – 66 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 17-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#52) | 5.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#50) | 0.56 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#54) | 0.63 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#50) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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