Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -6.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -5.5 (+4.5) | 134.2 (+22.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -5.2 (+4.2) | 134.7 (+22.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -5.2 (+4.2) | 135.3 (+21.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -4.8 (+3.8) | 136.3 (+20.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 57 NEV |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 68 NEV |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SDSU 80 – 61 NEV |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SDSU 69 – 50 NEV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEV 70 – 66 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 58.1 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#128) | 11.9 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#120) | 2.41 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#118) | 2.94 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#138) | 0.606 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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