Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -2.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -2.5 (+0.5) | 132.6 (+6.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -3.3 (-0.3) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -3.5 (-0.5) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -3.6 (-0.6) | 135.1 (+3.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-6 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#42) | 11.2 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#14) | 2.44 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#22) | 2.80 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#16) | 0.594 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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