Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DREX +110 DEL -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -0.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -0.5 (-10.5) | 138.7 (-16.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.2 (-9.8) | 141.8 (-19.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -0.2 (-10.2) | 141.6 (-19.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -0.3 (-10.3) | 140.6 (-18.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#146) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#158) | 0.47 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#168) | 0.40 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#165) | 0.534 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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