Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +13 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -0.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.1 (-13.1) | 138.2 (+16.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.5 (-12.5) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -0.2 (-13.2) | 140.6 (+14.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.7 (-12.3) | 138.4 (+16.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#106) | 7.4 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#159) | 1.58 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#140) | 1.97 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#226) | 0.531 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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