Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -13.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -15.6 (+4.4) | 146.5 (-4.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.4 (+7.6) | 147.2 (-5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -12.1 (+7.9) | 147.2 (-5.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -12.6 (+7.4) | 145.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#129) | -8.0 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#185) | -1.61 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#178) | -2.11 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#141) | 0.431 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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