Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +28 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -9.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -8.5 (+19.5) | 130.6 (-8.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -8.2 (+19.8) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -8.8 (+19.2) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -8.6 (+19.4) | 132.2 (-10.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#118) | -3.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#96) | -0.87 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#106) | -0.97 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#110) | 0.449 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.