Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -5.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.1 (+4.9) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -5.7 (+3.3) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -6.1 (+2.9) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -6.1 (+2.9) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#148) | -2.1 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#145) | -0.64 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#146) | -0.69 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#77) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.