See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.5 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona State @ Oregon State -3.0 147.0 43% 79–80 ✗
Siena @ Rider -6.1 139.7 25% 74–72 ✓
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +11.0 146.1 86% 84–99 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +3.8 151.8 65% 81–74 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State +8.8 134.6 81% 49–85 ✓
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.3 136.2 51% 80–63 ✗
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +11.1 147.7 84% 66–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ UT Rio Grande Valley +12.0 142.5 87% 65–72 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +8.2 154.2 81% 65–80 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -15.6 131.9 14% 70–53 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word -2.0 141.7 33% 83–65 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas +16.9 140.6 89% 67–82 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -4.4 133.5 40% 72–78 ✗
BYU @ San Francisco +0.5 142.5 53% 72–63 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +12.5 135.2 85% 53–84 ✓
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -5.1 129.2 29% 78–82 ✗
South Carolina @ LSU +11.2 154.5 85% 80–85 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +5.9 138.9 70% 78–72 ✗
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +0.5 138.9 44% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +3.7 144.0 61% 67–73 ✓
Washington State @ USC +16.1 137.5 89% 77–85 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -11.2 144.3 13% 73–59 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +1.1 143.6 54% 86–85 ✗
California @ Utah +11.1 135.3 84% 72–63 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +2.9 137.1 57% 83–72 ✗
Iowa @ Northwestern -6.6 163.0 24% 96–73 ✓
American University @ Navy +8.1 148.2 77% 59–71 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -5.9 141.7 27% 77–67 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +4.5 145.3 74% 72–80 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +24.2 153.8 91% 87–96 ✓
Army @ Boston University -6.1 142.3 31% 76–65 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +15.5 125.9 86% 60–88 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +3.6 133.7 62% 49–57 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware +0.2 134.4 49% 68–67 ✗
Northeastern @ Charleston -2.1 132.1 40% 68–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Drexel +9.3 136.2 83% 69–64 ✗
UCF @ Houston +12.3 129.4 86% 58–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +16.0 152.7 88% 89–79 ✗
New Hampshire @ Stony Brook +1.5 137.1 55% 67–64 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Marshall +6.1 149.9 69% 69–67 ✗
Massachusetts @ Fordham -14.2 141.8 13% 65–46 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa +4.6 129.5 68% 57–58 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +1.1 131.1 43% 56–57 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State -5.5 137.7 32% 74–68 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +9.3 129.0 84% 55–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +9.9 137.4 83% 65–79 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.5 142.0 64% 77–61 ✗
Dayton @ George Washington -2.7 146.9 35% 67–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -7.4 136.3 29% 69–63 ✓
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -10.3 149.7 15% 83–79 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago +12.7 139.0 87% 46–88 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +1.8 136.0 63% 71–83 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest -3.0 140.0 33% 64–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +1.0 150.8 51% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.