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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tarleton State
@
Weber State
|
+12.4 | 141.9 | 85% | 79–94 | ✓ |
Cal State Northridge
@
Cal State Fullerton
|
+0.6 | 148.9 | 52% | 77–85 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Towson
|
-4.3 | 146.3 | 45% | 69–72 | ✗ |
St. John's
@
UConn
|
+11.0 | 146.9 | 83% | 74–70 | ✗ |
Sacramento State
@
Idaho State
|
+1.2 | 125.1 | 44% | 70–65 | ✗ |
Western Carolina
@
Samford
|
+1.1 | 161.3 | 61% | 78–82 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
La Salle
|
+3.7 | 144.1 | 63% | 83–90 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Alcorn State
|
+3.9 | 152.4 | 68% | 48–82 | ✓ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Southern
|
+31.7 | 144.3 | 91% | 61–102 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.