You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–13 on winners spread MAE 8.1 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ LSU -10.0 146.4 15% 87–74 ✓
Houston @ West Virginia -6.8 126.9 18% 63–49 ✓
Wisconsin @ Maryland +4.8 151.0 72% 68–76 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +13.1 136.1 87% 57–71 ✓
Longwood @ Gardner-Webb -0.5 149.0 48% 87–92 ✗
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic +7.7 156.6 76% 74–94 ✓
Charlotte @ Temple +8.9 145.9 82% 89–90 ✓
Virginia @ Miami -2.5 136.0 32% 82–71 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Florida State +11.2 141.1 86% 76–66 ✗
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +6.0 158.5 75% 82–88 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington +8.7 138.5 79% 66–75 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ George Mason +11.1 135.5 82% 53–58 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's +7.9 140.4 78% 72–76 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle +5.5 149.1 72% 88–72 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Drake +6.3 123.7 81% 52–66 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +0.4 149.1 57% 67–72 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell +3.7 142.6 66% 67–79 ✓
Navy @ Lehigh +1.4 138.4 58% 79–54 ✗
American University @ Lafayette -0.7 137.0 44% 75–68 ✓
Stetson @ North Florida +11.6 162.8 86% 100–101 ✓
North Alabama @ Queens University -1.9 149.1 40% 67–75 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville +3.2 135.1 64% 83–79 ✗
VMI @ Wofford +10.4 140.8 84% 74–67 ✗
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina -11.5 146.4 15% 84–60 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +3.4 133.9 68% 65–70 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +10.5 142.2 83% 46–80 ✓
North Texas @ Wichita State -5.4 132.9 23% 58–54 ✓
West Georgia @ Central Arkansas +1.4 144.1 59% 70–75 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +13.7 146.4 87% 61–72 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +4.7 143.0 70% 57–85 ✓
UAB @ Tulsa -5.4 155.5 26% 78–68 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +10.7 150.7 82% 93–70 ✗
Murray State @ Evansville -3.4 135.4 36% 74–78 ✗
Xavier @ Creighton +4.6 140.9 72% 77–86 ✓
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss -8.4 149.1 19% 81–68 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +14.3 158.1 87% 71–86 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -0.6 162.8 49% 87–91 ✗
Alabama @ Mississippi State -0.7 167.9 41% 88–84 ✓
Texas @ Ole Miss +6.3 141.8 75% 69–72 ✓
California @ SMU +12.9 154.9 87% 65–76 ✓
Belmont @ Illinois State +2.7 153.7 63% 78–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Northwestern +6.0 147.8 74% 79–72 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -1.0 142.4 41% 67–54 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +7.1 138.2 77% 56–66 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +12.6 143.8 87% 71–76 ✓
Syracuse @ Stanford +11.2 149.7 85% 61–70 ✓
New Hampshire @ Maine +17.1 139.7 90% 46–71 ✓
Stony Brook @ Charleston +13.2 147.2 87% 74–81 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -0.0 131.1 43% 72–75 ✗
Ohio State @ Penn State +1.7 153.7 57% 83–64 ✗
Wright State @ Youngstown State +0.8 146.5 56% 86–88 ✓
Towson @ Delaware -0.3 144.7 39% 76–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.