Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA +260 UAB -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +10 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -6.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.5 (-4.5) | 154.2 (-8.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.9 (-5.1) | 152.2 (-6.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.3 (-4.7) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -5.4 (-4.6) | 155.5 (-9.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UAB 68 – 63 TLSA |
| Jan 18, 2026 | TLSA 99 – 77 UAB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UAB 83 – 51 TLSA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UAB 70 – 63 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#284) | 2.7 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#289) | 0.01 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#285) | 0.11 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#337) | 0.504 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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