Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -900 SYR +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -9.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -11.2 (-2.2) | 149.7 (-18.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -9.1 (-0.1) | 147.8 (-16.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -10.4 (-1.4) | 148.7 (-17.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -10.8 (-1.8) | 149.3 (-18.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#71) | 1.8 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#53) | 0.38 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#74) | 0.67 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#53) | 0.518 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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