Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CARK -130 WGA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -2.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -0.7 (+4.3) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -1.3 (+3.7) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -1.5 (+3.5) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -1.4 (+3.6) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CARK 79 – 62 WGA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CARK 86 – 65 WGA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | CARK 82 – 71 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-16 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#332) | -11.0 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#357) | -2.14 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#355) | -2.65 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#360) | 0.409 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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