But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–8 on winners spread MAE 6.4 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Tennessee +6.6 144.6 67% 78–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Louisville +11.0 141.4 85% 59–72 ✓
Rice @ South Florida +2.0 140.2 62% 64–69 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall -4.8 136.1 31% 69–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Georgia +9.9 133.7 82% 60–71 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ball State +4.2 149.8 63% 74–71 ✗
Toledo @ Ohio +5.1 159.7 73% 86–83 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Miami (OH) +10.7 153.6 85% 80–89 ✓
Central Michigan @ Buffalo -6.8 143.2 26% 69–75 ✗
Bowling Green @ Kent State +10.7 137.7 85% 57–75 ✓
Akron @ Northern Illinois -13.8 156.3 12% 80–70 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +4.6 136.0 70% 65–66 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +14.6 143.1 88% 51–73 ✓
UCF @ Kansas +12.1 153.4 86% 87–91 ✓
VCU @ Saint Louis -5.2 136.6 34% 69–78 ✗
Dayton @ St. Bonaventure +0.9 136.4 53% 53–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso +0.3 148.2 55% 79–75 ✗
Marquette @ Butler -6.4 147.7 23% 78–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +6.9 141.9 74% 72–83 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado -1.9 140.7 42% 70–68 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +7.4 144.3 78% 68–71 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +15.1 132.6 88% 58–79 ✓
Baylor @ BYU +2.1 143.5 59% 89–93 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +7.7 142.9 79% 68–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh +3.7 157.7 69% 65–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Utah +1.1 133.9 61% 66–69 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +12.6 134.2 87% 68–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Gonzaga +13.5 156.5 85% 60–98 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate -2.8 153.4 31% 82–75 ✓
Colgate @ Army -2.1 143.7 45% 72–84 ✗
Samford @ Furman +0.5 146.4 46% 70–72 ✓
Radford @ UNC Asheville +2.4 147.2 69% 65–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +5.7 152.3 73% 67–76 ✓
Old Dominion @ App State +10.2 130.2 81% 78–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.