Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -115 CIN -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -0.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.3 (+1.7) | 136.5 (-1.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.4 (+1.6) | 132.8 (+2.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.4 (+1.6) | 133.6 (+1.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.1 (+1.9) | 133.9 (+1.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | CIN 73 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | CIN 69 – 65 UTAH |
| Feb 12, 2025 | CIN 85 – 75 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | 11.6 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#86) | 1.34 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#85) | 1.82 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.543 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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