Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -1050 UTAH +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -10.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -10.4 (-6.4) | 142.6 (-8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -10.1 (-6.1) | 136.7 (-2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -10.8 (-6.8) | 136.8 (-2.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -10.7 (-6.7) | 139.1 (-5.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | CIN 73 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 12, 2025 | CIN 85 – 75 UTAH |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UTAH 69 – 66 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#49) | 3.7 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#71) | 0.45 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#57) | 0.48 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#107) | 0.490 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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