I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
32–22 on winners spread MAE 10.1 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wagner @ Stonehill +4.3 127.3 58% 61–73 ✓
Saint Francis @ Mercyhurst +0.6 136.3 53% 58–62 ✓
Le Moyne @ Fairleigh Dickinson +5.7 151.7 75% 74–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University -4.3 129.2 29% 63–50 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT -7.5 141.3 25% 62–83 ✗
Bryant @ UMBC -2.0 163.8 34% 92–86 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +11.0 149.1 86% 85–81 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Troy +10.8 141.0 86% 74–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison +11.2 139.6 86% 64–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +8.7 148.0 80% 53–106 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Detroit Mercy -2.7 132.2 33% 57–68 ✗
Green Bay @ Oakland +11.7 133.2 87% 54–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T -9.2 151.8 16% 83–59 ✓
William & Mary @ Campbell +1.3 148.8 54% 55–96 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth -1.4 134.4 48% 97–104 ✗
Hofstra @ Elon +4.8 132.0 62% 74–63 ✗
Northeastern @ Hampton +0.3 138.7 48% 78–69 ✗
Florida International @ Jacksonville State +9.9 136.1 81% 67–71 ✓
New Mexico State @ Middle Tennessee +5.2 140.4 74% 61–57 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +2.9 138.7 65% 72–64 ✗
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +13.3 131.7 84% 62–58 ✗
Louisiana @ Texas State +10.9 144.0 85% 70–61 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +14.3 145.7 88% 80–71 ✗
Bellarmine @ Austin Peay +9.5 144.4 84% 77–86 ✓
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +5.2 144.3 72% 68–70 ✓
Utah Tech @ Tarleton State +0.2 133.8 54% 54–61 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +3.8 155.2 66% 72–62 ✗
UTEP @ Western Kentucky +2.7 145.6 67% 74–78 ✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -3.2 142.9 40% 76–68 ✓
Tennessee State @ Little Rock +6.2 142.3 73% 72–70 ✗
Illinois @ Nebraska -4.8 155.5 37% 74–80 ✗
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State +4.4 141.5 71% 79–90 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Lindenwood -4.4 139.9 34% 63–65 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Western Illinois +0.8 128.9 44% 71–59 ✗
Memphis @ Tulane -6.0 145.8 30% 68–56 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +10.1 133.3 84% 58–70 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +0.5 143.8 51% 82–74 ✗
Portland State @ Montana +0.3 142.2 54% 78–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State +4.8 138.0 73% 70–78 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.9 147.6 51% 68–58 ✗
Kansas City @ Denver -4.3 133.4 31% 68–69 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +3.2 156.3 70% 90–81 ✗
UC Davis @ UC Riverside +5.8 140.3 72% 58–60 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +0.8 146.7 49% 78–71 ✗
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -13.9 138.7 13% 80–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego -3.7 143.2 32% 98–90 ✓
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +11.5 145.2 86% 63–88 ✓
Washington State @ Pacific -10.1 148.3 22% 68–70 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +6.9 136.0 75% 60–83 ✓
Oregon @ UCLA +4.3 142.9 75% 52–78 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +8.6 141.7 80% 74–83 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i -7.4 138.1 20% 74–63 ✓
Yale @ Princeton -3.2 148.4 34% 77–70 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown +2.5 138.3 66% 70–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.