Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | USD +135 PEPP -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +8 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -2.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+43.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -3.3 (-4.7) | 141.1 (+46.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -2.3 (-5.7) | 142.8 (+45.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -3.7 (-4.3) | 143.2 (+44.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -3.3 (-4.7) | 142.3 (+45.7) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | USD 92 – 88 PEPP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | USD 83 – 63 PEPP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PEPP 88 – 81 USD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | USD 57 – 52 PEPP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | USD 69 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Away | 0-12 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#293) | -1.9 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#341) | -0.96 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#333) | -0.96 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#333) | 0.456 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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