Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -120 BEL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -3.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -2.7 (+0.3) | 153.7 (+5.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -2.1 (+0.9) | 149.9 (+9.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -2.2 (+0.8) | 152.6 (+6.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -2.1 (+0.9) | 154.1 (+4.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | ILST 81 – 74 BEL |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BEL 80 – 69 ILST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BEL 76 – 63 ILST |
| Dec 5, 2024 | BEL 99 – 97 ILST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | ILST 77 – 67 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#127) | 2.2 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#151) | 1.22 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#144) | 1.20 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.564 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.