Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -105 BEL -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -0.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -0.5 (+6.5) | 148.8 (+6.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -0.2 (+7.2) | 146.4 (+8.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -0.3 (+7.3) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -0.3 (+7.3) | 149.6 (+5.4) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BEL 80 – 69 ILST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BEL 76 – 63 ILST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ILST 81 – 78 BEL |
| Dec 5, 2024 | BEL 99 – 97 ILST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | ILST 77 – 67 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 16-4 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#89) | 10.2 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#117) | 1.80 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#122) | 2.38 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#97) | 0.587 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 61.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.