Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–15 on winners spread MAE 10.3 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ Colorado State +6.6 159.1 72% 81–86 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee State +14.1 134.9 90% 65–69 ✓
Sacramento State @ Long Beach State +17.2 154.9 94% 73–83 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +13.7 143.5 89% 58–70 ✓
Yale @ Vermont +5.3 141.9 68% 65–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ Gardner-Webb +0.1 139.2 50% 77–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Merrimack -3.8 138.7 36% 68–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Marshall +8.6 149.3 78% 79–74 ✗
Santa Clara @ California -1.0 149.7 46% 69–84 ✗
George Mason @ Toledo +7.7 145.2 76% 86–77 ✗
Temple @ Saint Joseph's +7.3 155.7 75% 65–74 ✓
Wofford @ Middle Tennessee +6.5 140.9 72% 74–64 ✗
Rhode Island @ Providence +15.2 142.0 92% 69–84 ✓
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts +3.6 140.5 63% 70–79 ✓
Lindenwood @ Idaho State +15.8 129.3 92% 70–76 ✓
Dartmouth @ UAlbany +18.3 142.3 95% 68–73 ✓
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +15.0 157.2 91% 69–76 ✓
New Mexico State @ New Mexico +26.8 156.4 99% 62–106 ✓
UC Irvine @ Utah State +6.6 136.8 73% 69–79 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech +5.8 141.7 70% 53–65 ✓
Gonzaga @ USC -0.6 141.9 48% 89–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Nevada +16.7 147.0 94% 59–73 ✓
Brown @ Maine +7.8 141.7 76% 49–60 ✓
Columbia @ New Hampshire +7.7 145.7 76% 71–80 ✓
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's +19.6 131.9 96% 48–80 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius +7.7 133.1 76% 54–52 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Cincinnati +22.1 147.0 98% 62–99 ✓
Tulane @ Fordham +1.8 147.9 57% 89–81 ✗
Auburn @ App State +0.6 143.8 52% 64–69 ✓
Coppin State @ Navy +15.3 117.2 92% 52–75 ✓
Longwood @ Morgan State -8.4 150.3 22% 88–54 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +6.7 143.7 73% 79–70 ✗
Stetson @ Chicago State -6.1 135.7 29% 54–77 ✗
South Dakota @ Western Illinois -2.1 149.2 42% 70–68 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Niagara +3.7 158.1 63% 75–68 ✗
Manhattan @ Marist +14.9 134.6 91% 56–70 ✓
Fairfield @ Rider +6.3 143.7 72% 88–81 ✗
Elon @ Radford +11.8 148.5 86% 72–82 ✓
Murray State @ Illinois State +8.3 135.7 78% 72–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Arizona State -3.5 126.1 37% 61–72 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State +8.2 124.3 77% 61–59 ✗
East Texas A&M @ SMU +15.3 126.4 92% 47–90 ✓
Wichita State @ Missouri +3.2 138.1 62% 72–82 ✓
Creighton @ Nebraska -2.4 149.1 41% 89–60 ✓
Southern @ Mississippi State +25.0 142.5 99% 60–59 ✗
Louisville @ Virginia Tech +19.1 149.2 96% 68–75 ✓
Air Force @ Portland +5.3 136.1 68% 80–58 ✗
Chattanooga @ Morehead State +8.3 133.0 77% 80–87 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Western Kentucky +14.2 142.1 90% 69–79 ✓
Pepperdine @ Colorado +13.2 157.2 89% 66–91 ✓
Lamar @ Sam Houston +7.0 162.0 74% 70–90 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +16.1 141.0 93% 74–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.