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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 7.9
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Diego
@
Stanford
|
+4.3 | 145.9 | 65% | 64–88 | ✓ |
North Dakota
@
UC Riverside
|
+9.9 | 136.4 | 82% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Central Arkansas
@
Hawai'i
|
+23.8 | 144.3 | 98% | 76–95 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
East Carolina
|
+14.1 | 155.1 | 90% | 52–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.