This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 8.5 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly +9.0 162.0 83% 76–108 ✓
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian -1.0 130.7 51% 64–57 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +5.5 135.6 69% 65–73 ✓
Queens University @ Austin Peay +2.5 155.1 58% 90–83 ✗
Providence @ Georgetown +2.1 157.6 64% 79–80 ✓
Fresno State @ Grand Canyon +11.2 139.2 85% 60–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge +6.1 160.2 78% 90–77 ✗
UC Davis @ UC Irvine +8.1 146.0 77% 69–79 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota State +8.7 144.5 83% 50–74 ✓
Auburn @ Alabama +8.0 178.9 71% 84–96 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +5.6 157.4 74% 88–85 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -8.4 144.8 22% 82–75 ✓
Western Carolina @ Mercer +3.0 152.2 62% 77–73 ✗
Elon @ William & Mary +5.1 156.0 73% 62–72 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Siena +4.2 129.8 66% 58–63 ✓
UCLA @ USC -2.5 149.2 41% 89–68 ✓
Northwestern @ Minnesota +2.5 134.8 62% 66–67 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +1.0 141.7 52% 64–63 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -6.4 142.0 23% 104–101 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +8.1 144.7 78% 65–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +5.6 143.3 72% 67–93 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +0.9 152.9 57% 96–72 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +20.4 138.9 91% 59–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +6.1 153.8 77% 45–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ BYU +1.8 159.5 52% 76–82 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +14.1 150.2 86% 67–66 ✗
Arizona @ Colorado -12.5 152.7 14% 89–79 ✓
Washington @ Oregon -0.9 139.6 51% 79–85 ✗
Seattle U @ Pacific -0.3 128.4 47% 58–61 ✗
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +11.0 149.5 87% 84–75 ✗
Penn State @ Rutgers +2.9 145.0 67% 62–74 ✓
Colgate @ Lehigh -0.4 145.3 51% 69–76 ✗
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +8.1 144.5 78% 85–70 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +6.0 154.1 69% 76–91 ✓
Northern Iowa @ UIC -0.7 126.7 45% 84–69 ✓
Memphis @ Tulane -3.1 147.2 49% 96–95 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +13.2 157.1 87% 60–83 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +9.0 138.7 82% 73–72 ✗
Queens University @ Central Arkansas +2.8 159.0 59% 98–93 ✗
Illinois @ Maryland -13.4 149.5 17% 78–72 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa +11.4 150.5 84% 76–78 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +9.4 147.4 84% 71–80 ✓
East Carolina @ UAB +11.2 148.9 85% 83–90 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth +2.0 131.8 61% 57–65 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -1.7 144.9 40% 96–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +6.9 143.7 69% 67–69 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +11.4 151.6 87% 80–90 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +6.4 132.1 76% 75–84 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans +4.1 141.8 71% 60–73 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +0.8 131.3 54% 81–56 ✗
Southern Miss @ Troy +5.2 144.2 72% 70–78 ✓
Marist @ Merrimack +2.2 130.7 63% 57–58 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +6.4 146.7 78% 75–81 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +5.2 139.7 72% 78–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.