I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–18 on winners spread MAE 9.0 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +9.4 145.9 82% 55–96 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Utah +8.7 147.8 79% 62–83 ✓
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois +0.8 137.5 52% 78–88 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State +0.8 137.4 52% 85–84 ✗
Nevada @ Fresno State -12.2 143.4 15% 77–66 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -11.6 143.8 13% 74–65 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar +5.4 131.1 63% 72–63 ✗
Villanova @ St. John's +6.8 144.8 74% 68–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +13.9 150.0 88% 67–90 ✓
Northeastern @ Stony Brook -5.4 136.4 33% 70–66 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +3.0 151.3 66% 54–77 ✓
Alabama @ Texas A&M +0.5 161.2 44% 94–88 ✗
Indiana @ Iowa +4.6 159.6 73% 60–85 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +4.7 143.8 71% 53–58 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho State +5.2 139.0 71% 77–69 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +6.1 138.8 74% 68–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -3.0 148.8 36% 75–72 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +12.5 167.9 87% 104–119 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts -2.4 155.1 44% 79–83 ✗
Liberty @ Louisiana Tech -0.8 136.0 48% 74–79 ✗
Kentucky @ Mississippi State +4.4 158.0 69% 95–90 ✗
UT Arlington @ Southern Utah -0.6 149.5 52% 68–73 ✗
Washington State @ Gonzaga +15.0 160.3 87% 75–88 ✓
Boise State @ Utah State +6.8 145.3 78% 79–81 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech +2.7 133.8 66% 54–58 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP +5.4 140.9 72% 85–57 ✗
Baylor @ Arizona State -3.7 140.2 30% 72–66 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield -2.4 145.5 44% 90–94 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego +3.5 140.2 72% 60–52 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -15.9 135.2 12% 103–56 ✓
Oregon State @ Pacific -11.4 141.5 19% 91–55 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +9.0 134.4 83% 64–66 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +15.1 160.3 88% 80–88 ✓
Michigan State @ Northwestern -1.6 138.3 46% 78–68 ✓
Nebraska @ Purdue +6.7 139.8 76% 68–104 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +11.0 148.1 86% 66–91 ✓
Rider @ Niagara +4.4 134.7 66% 68–65 ✗
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +4.4 149.0 67% 75–71 ✗
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut +8.2 127.0 74% 54–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Iona -1.5 138.5 41% 63–62 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius -7.6 127.5 22% 62–49 ✓
Washington @ Michigan +14.0 151.6 88% 75–91 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Le Moyne +1.9 135.3 57% 63–79 ✓
Stonehill @ Chicago State -3.7 136.1 32% 68–52 ✓
Wright State @ Robert Morris -0.3 145.1 58% 72–75 ✗
Fairfield @ Marist +7.2 135.1 74% 51–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Merrimack +6.6 142.1 79% 62–69 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +4.7 145.5 73% 71–73 ✓
West Virginia @ Colorado -0.2 138.7 51% 78–70 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulsa +0.7 146.8 59% 63–69 ✓
Mercer @ Western Carolina -5.4 153.2 34% 82–85 ✗
Oregon @ Penn State +2.0 151.2 60% 82–81 ✗
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +5.9 162.5 65% 81–76 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock +6.1 132.3 74% 58–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.