Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +125 ORE -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -1.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -2.0 (-3.0) | 151.2 (+11.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -0.3 (-1.3) | 151.9 (+11.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -0.4 (-1.4) | 151.5 (+11.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -1.5 (-2.5) | 153.7 (+9.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ORE 83 – 72 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#42) | 14.9 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#61) | 3.69 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#58) | 4.44 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#66) | 0.661 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.