I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–18 on winners spread MAE 8.4 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rice @ Florida International -0.4 148.2 50% 78–80 ✗
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +7.4 138.0 81% 64–73 ✓
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +15.3 148.0 88% 71–95 ✓
Charlotte @ Marshall +2.2 150.9 53% 99–84 ✗
Hampton @ Longwood +12.2 138.4 88% 72–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +3.1 129.2 67% 68–62 ✗
Princeton @ Yale -0.3 145.9 43% 81–75 ✓
Cornell @ Harvard +2.8 146.5 64% 72–77 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth +9.8 137.1 86% 50–79 ✓
Stetson @ Liberty +14.0 137.6 88% 82–88 ✓
UIC @ Robert Morris -0.3 142.2 45% 96–88 ✓
James Madison @ UNC Wilmington +2.2 145.1 66% 77–78 ✓
Central Michigan @ Toledo +19.1 153.1 90% 66–68 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -4.4 161.4 33% 76–83 ✗
Kansas @ West Virginia -4.8 144.4 36% 71–58 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +8.1 145.2 83% 53–73 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +13.2 127.3 87% 58–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +4.4 134.0 64% 79–81 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +10.1 143.9 81% 64–66 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +6.1 154.0 69% 83–79 ✗
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +0.9 129.0 50% 80–75 ✗
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +2.7 134.0 62% 82–66 ✗
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley -6.0 143.1 24% 67–61 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +5.4 149.4 77% 74–77 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +7.2 142.6 80% 74–79 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV -2.0 139.3 45% 51–72 ✗
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +16.3 161.9 89% 69–81 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.6 140.4 31% 75–80 ✗
Oregon @ Arizona +13.7 154.8 86% 81–84 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +18.3 149.8 89% 50–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -0.6 135.1 55% 68–69 ✗
Colorado @ Stanford +2.0 135.6 54% 70–53 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +5.0 140.4 65% 71–84 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge -6.6 134.2 25% 81–73 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +6.4 136.7 77% 64–69 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State -0.5 117.9 46% 61–44 ✓
Providence @ Butler -3.8 134.4 34% 71–70 ✓
Houston @ Wichita State -5.8 133.0 23% 76–74 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +4.0 135.2 66% 63–77 ✓
NJIT @ Maine -4.6 130.0 35% 61–65 ✗
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy +0.2 143.1 49% 75–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +11.3 138.5 86% 58–76 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +6.1 138.5 72% 75–71 ✗
East Carolina @ UCF +9.0 141.6 81% 66–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee -3.1 138.5 30% 81–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa -0.4 141.9 55% 75–95 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Marist +4.7 144.1 72% 66–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena -2.3 129.9 44% 70–84 ✗
Rider @ Manhattan +2.1 140.8 60% 78–84 ✓
George Mason @ Fordham -4.3 137.4 40% 47–50 ✗
Memphis @ SMU +1.1 144.0 53% 57–73 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton +2.2 145.9 66% 82–83 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +4.9 135.8 67% 71–66 ✗
Cleveland State @ Green Bay -9.1 139.4 18% 79–67 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -4.3 148.3 32% 55–71 ✗
Stony Brook @ Hartford +0.3 150.4 53% 70–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +4.9 132.9 72% 42–69 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +12.0 141.1 86% 72–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.