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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 9.3 55 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Delaware @ Temple	+2.4	142.3	66%	74–75	✓
SE Louisiana @ Florida Gulf Coast	+8.3	143.8	79%	71–90	✓
LSU @ Wake Forest	-12.7	146.1	18%	75–61	✓
Kansas City @ Morehead State	+0.7	130.2	65%	62–70	✓
Marshall @ Indiana	+13.0	148.3	85%	79–90	✓
Sacramento State @ Arizona	+27.8	148.7	91%	59–105	✓
Eastern Washington @ Washington State	+14.6	152.7	85%	76–71	✗
UC Irvine @ Santa Clara	+4.7	137.2	68%	69–64	✗
Idaho @ North Dakota State	+14.8	141.0	89%	73–90	✓
Northern Illinois @ Marquette	+15.9	139.9	89%	66–80	✓
UT Arlington @ Utah State	+22.3	146.5	91%	61–80	✓
Weber State @ Utah Tech	-9.6	148.9	20%	87–70	✓
BYU @ Utah	+6.5	138.6	62%	75–64	✗
Winthrop @ Washington	+2.1	153.3	60%	82–74	✗
St. Thomas @ Seattle U	+2.5	144.8	64%	64–81	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Loyola Marymount	+9.0	139.6	83%	80–83	✓
North Texas @ Drake	+5.5	126.6	62%	57–54	✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Seton Hall	+19.8	138.2	91%	70–84	✓
Troy @ Florida	+18.7	137.4	89%	45–84	✓
North Florida @ Florida International	+7.0	135.8	79%	69–84	✓
Kansas @ Iona	-4.4	147.5	30%	96–83	✓
Merrimack @ Boston University	+10.3	127.4	82%	60–61	✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Montana State	+7.7	153.6	74%	68–75	✓
Fordham @ Central Connecticut	-8.1	136.4	20%	89–83	✓
Stony Brook @ Yale	+10.5	145.1	81%	85–81	✗
Western Michigan @ SE Louisiana	+0.5	148.5	52%	81–77	✗
The Citadel @ South Carolina State	-5.9	159.4	24%	91–79	✓
Alcorn State @ Milwaukee	-1.3	134.3	43%	61–57	✓
Evansville @ Eastern Illinois	-4.3	132.1	22%	70–54	✓
James Madison @ Florida Atlantic	+2.6	146.4	55%	69–65	✗
American University @ Duquesne	+8.3	142.1	80%	79–88	✓
Loyola Maryland @ Fairfield	+6.9	139.8	73%	75–70	✗
Rider @ South Carolina	+14.0	138.9	86%	58–65	✓
Siena @ Bucknell	+6.2	143.7	77%	56–65	✓
Eastern Michigan @ DePaul	+12.7	158.5	86%	63–101	✓
Chicago State @ Bowling Green	+5.6	144.6	77%	57–75	✓
Southern @ Tennessee State	-2.1	142.3	41%	82–80	✓
UL Monroe @ SMU	+13.3	152.2	88%	67–74	✓
Portland @ Incarnate Word	-5.6	139.2	24%	77–68	✓
Pennsylvania @ Arkansas	+14.7	147.8	87%	60–76	✓
Dayton @ Belmont	+6.3	143.4	75%	63–61	✗
Kansas City @ Arkansas State	-6.0	131.6	33%	55–66	✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Princeton	+15.4	147.0	88%	79–89	✓
Dartmouth @ Bryant	—	—	—	63–61	—
Wofford @ Georgia	-3.2	142.0	37%	68–65	✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State	-11.3	147.7	16%	72–68	✓
Charleston Southern @ Kennesaw State	+9.7	148.9	83%	52–89	✓
Brown @ Quinnipiac	+1.7	141.0	43%	72–61	✗
North Alabama @ Alabama State	+6.7	143.7	59%	81–69	✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Radford	-1.8	142.3	42%	75–88	✗
North Dakota @ Kansas State	+10.0	139.5	80%	42–84	✓
Villanova @ La Salle	-17.4	142.3	12%	72–46	✓
Cal State Northridge @ San Diego	+12.6	129.3	82%	56–52	✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Florida Gulf Coast	+7.7	141.0	78%	78–85	✓
Miami @ Alabama	+11.0	154.7	84%	64–96	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.