Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–16 on winners spread MAE 10.1 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Seton Hall +2.1 133.4 55% 69–70 ✓
UConn @ Oregon -4.7 138.5 27% 83–59 ✓
Purdue @ West Virginia +2.5 135.4 62% 80–68 ✗
Fresno State @ Vanderbilt +6.7 132.0 77% 59–67 ✓
Alabama @ Michigan State -6.3 141.4 26% 81–70 ✓
Washington @ Saint Mary's +10.6 129.4 85% 68–64 ✗
Portland State @ Gonzaga +4.4 159.4 66% 78–102 ✓
Siena @ Ole Miss +4.2 140.7 70% 62–74 ✓
Southern @ Loyola Maryland -7.2 139.6 23% 76–58 ✓
Ball State @ Vermont -4.4 137.7 32% 73–78 ✗
Jackson State @ Indiana +20.9 148.2 91% 51–90 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Alcorn State -1.3 127.9 44% 54–62 ✗
USC @ Wisconsin +1.8 129.9 59% 59–64 ✓
Texas A&M @ DePaul +5.1 146.4 72% 82–66 ✗
South Dakota State @ Valparaiso -5.8 142.8 25% 61–50 ✓
Florida State @ Stanford +6.7 136.8 77% 60–70 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Quinnipiac -1.1 154.2 47% 44–58 ✗
San Francisco @ Davidson +3.5 144.2 59% 80–89 ✓
Utah Tech @ North Dakota -0.4 147.8 45% 52–67 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ South Florida +9.9 129.2 82% 60–75 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Ohio +11.8 134.8 85% 67–78 ✓
Delaware @ Colgate +8.0 155.3 79% 72–68 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Harvard +9.9 140.2 84% 55–61 ✓
Cornell @ Monmouth -4.8 146.8 29% 81–63 ✓
UL Monroe @ Omaha +5.8 142.6 74% 56–63 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Missouri State +7.5 130.9 77% 68–54 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Samford +12.9 142.3 84% 79–76 ✗
Denver @ LSU New Orleans -6.1 150.7 25% 77–76 ✓
Portland @ Villanova -2.2 145.3 39% 83–71 ✓
Bellarmine @ Loyola Marymount +8.5 145.6 79% 59–80 ✓
Duke @ Xavier -3.7 141.0 35% 71–64 ✓
BYU @ Dayton +1.2 130.4 55% 79–75 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland +19.2 151.0 90% 79–95 ✓
Fairfield @ Towson +7.3 130.9 79% 74–69 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Washington State +7.1 143.4 74% 54–96 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UTEP +2.3 142.9 59% 67–72 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina +6.0 139.5 74% 53–68 ✓
Notre Dame @ St. Bonaventure -1.1 143.3 41% 51–63 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Montana State +4.7 132.2 72% 77–66 ✗
Hartford @ Pennsylvania +16.1 148.3 90% 55–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Iowa State +0.9 141.2 51% 65–70 ✓
Stony Brook @ Eastern Washington +5.4 129.8 72% 52–81 ✓
Nebraska @ Memphis +4.5 135.5 68% 61–73 ✓
San José State @ North Texas -2.1 126.3 38% 54–69 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia +24.3 139.1 91% 45–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ The Citadel +6.7 137.4 77% 53–74 ✓
Dartmouth @ Incarnate Word -3.6 142.4 35% 64–69 ✗
Oregon State @ Florida +4.4 135.9 70% 68–81 ✓
Evansville @ South Alabama +5.8 131.1 72% 67–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.