That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–7 on winners spread MAE 7.8 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Idaho @ Cal Poly +2.5 130.7 53% 71–82 ✓
Stony Brook @ Florida International +6.4 143.6 73% 50–83 ✓
Evansville @ UCF +12.7 128.9 86% 56–76 ✓
Alabama State @ Duquesne +17.2 151.2 90% 57–75 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Brown -5.5 146.8 30% 73–62 ✓
App State @ East Tennessee State +6.0 138.9 71% 74–70 ✗
Merrimack @ Providence +11.7 140.0 85% 57–71 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Missouri +15.9 155.2 87% 51–89 ✓
Butler @ Tennessee -2.5 135.8 38% 45–71 ✗
Louisville @ Cincinnati +7.0 136.6 78% 62–81 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Kansas City -1.3 131.7 44% 73–59 ✓
LSU @ Kansas State +2.9 142.5 62% 59–61 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Alabama A&M -4.4 151.2 31% 80–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Lindenwood +3.6 134.1 59% 76–77 ✓
Auburn @ Northwestern +1.5 128.7 59% 43–42 ✗
Utah @ Mississippi State +4.4 122.9 71% 49–52 ✓
Jackson State @ Michigan +11.6 147.8 83% 68–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ Wake Forest +14.4 150.1 88% 74–105 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UTEP +5.0 128.3 67% 67–68 ✓
Fresno State @ Washington +2.1 130.4 60% 57–62 ✓
Arkansas @ San Diego State +0.7 141.9 56% 78–74 ✗
North Alabama @ UC Santa Barbara +6.9 136.2 73% 71–89 ✓
Pepperdine @ UCLA +7.9 144.7 73% 53–100 ✓
Minnesota @ UNLV +7.7 128.7 79% 62–71 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt -7.4 130.4 22% 75–65 ✓
California Baptist @ Southern Illinois +4.0 122.8 69% 61–64 ✓
Wisconsin @ Kansas +3.8 128.8 66% 68–69 ✓
Florida State @ Siena +0.6 142.4 53% 63–80 ✓
Manhattan @ Northeastern -3.2 137.7 36% 67–69 ✗
North Carolina @ Portland -2.0 145.9 37% 89–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Stanford -2.0 137.1 36% 72–68 ✓
Tennessee @ USC -6.0 136.0 27% 73–66 ✓
Princeton @ Army -9.0 151.1 19% 74–66 ✓
Duke @ Oregon State -13.6 128.3 15% 54–51 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ LSU New Orleans +6.1 137.1 73% 84–87 ✓
Iowa State @ Villanova -6.8 130.6 22% 81–79 ✓
Dayton @ NC State +3.6 135.3 66% 64–76 ✓
Oklahoma @ Nebraska +0.7 124.8 55% 69–56 ✗
Florida @ Xavier -0.3 154.2 47% 83–90 ✗
The Citadel @ Denver +3.2 140.5 63% 71–74 ✓
Butler @ BYU -11.6 141.4 18% 75–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.