And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–20 on winners spread MAE 8.5 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rice @ Florida International +1.5 148.2 54% 78–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +9.4 139.0 82% 64–73 ✓
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +16.1 148.9 89% 71–95 ✓
Charlotte @ Marshall +0.9 152.8 53% 99–84 ✗
Hampton @ Longwood +12.5 139.1 87% 72–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +2.2 131.6 64% 68–62 ✗
Princeton @ Yale -0.1 145.8 53% 81–75 ✓
Cornell @ Harvard +1.9 147.2 59% 72–77 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth +10.6 136.5 86% 50–79 ✓
Stetson @ Liberty +12.8 140.3 87% 82–88 ✓
UIC @ Robert Morris +0.3 143.2 48% 96–88 ✗
James Madison @ UNC Wilmington +2.7 146.8 65% 77–78 ✓
Central Michigan @ Toledo +19.4 152.9 91% 66–68 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -1.8 159.3 39% 76–83 ✗
Kansas @ West Virginia -5.7 146.8 27% 71–58 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +8.2 144.5 81% 53–73 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +8.5 131.4 80% 58–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +5.1 134.9 72% 79–81 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +9.1 143.3 81% 64–66 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +4.3 157.1 68% 83–79 ✗
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +0.9 131.0 55% 80–75 ✗
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +2.7 132.3 62% 82–66 ✗
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.7 146.3 27% 67–61 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +8.7 148.8 83% 74–77 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +5.8 143.6 74% 74–79 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV -1.1 142.6 41% 51–72 ✗
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +16.6 162.3 90% 69–81 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.5 138.8 24% 75–80 ✗
Oregon @ Arizona +15.8 154.8 88% 81–84 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +15.4 149.1 89% 50–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -0.8 140.8 44% 68–69 ✗
Colorado @ Stanford +2.4 139.4 59% 70–53 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +2.1 142.1 58% 71–84 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge -5.9 136.3 25% 81–73 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +6.1 138.9 75% 64–69 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State +0.6 122.2 50% 61–44 ✗
Providence @ Butler -4.3 135.1 29% 71–70 ✓
Houston @ Wichita State -6.1 134.9 23% 76–74 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +4.1 136.5 69% 63–77 ✓
NJIT @ Maine -3.2 129.3 32% 61–65 ✗
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy +0.8 143.2 52% 75–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +11.3 140.3 87% 58–76 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +5.3 137.5 69% 75–71 ✗
East Carolina @ UCF +8.3 143.4 79% 66–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee -3.5 136.9 32% 81–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa -0.3 142.9 51% 75–95 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Marist +6.5 144.8 76% 66–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena -1.6 129.3 43% 70–84 ✗
Rider @ Manhattan +2.4 140.5 62% 78–84 ✓
George Mason @ Fordham -1.1 138.7 44% 47–50 ✗
Memphis @ SMU +1.1 146.2 54% 57–73 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton +2.2 142.3 59% 82–83 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +6.2 137.6 76% 71–66 ✗
Cleveland State @ Green Bay -8.9 139.9 20% 79–67 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -5.5 151.0 31% 55–71 ✗
Stony Brook @ Hartford -0.2 152.0 44% 70–74 ✗
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +4.6 137.5 67% 42–69 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +11.9 144.8 86% 72–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.