And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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50–13 on winners spread MAE 10.4 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Fresno State @ UNLV +1.0 148.9 50% 72–84 ✓
Omaha @ Lamar +3.5 137.5 63% 85–82 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Utah +8.0 156.0 79% 77–101 ✓
Portland State @ Tulane +1.7 143.0 59% 61–63 ✓
UC Riverside @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +12.5 145.3 87% 78–92 ✓
Sacramento State @ California Baptist +13.2 143.2 87% 67–74 ✓
Stanford @ Colorado +4.0 156.5 59% 77–68 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Rutgers +5.0 143.4 70% 69–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Duke +12.8 147.7 86% 82–81 ✗
Xavier @ Georgetown +3.8 148.8 69% 80–77 ✗
Marquette @ Creighton +12.1 145.6 86% 63–84 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +13.3 143.7 86% 65–88 ✓
Rice @ Pepperdine +1.6 135.3 57% 62–84 ✓
Utah Tech @ Weber State +7.7 147.0 77% 82–80 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -1.0 140.7 52% 66–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Arizona +15.4 155.7 88% 45–68 ✓
Colgate @ Florida +20.3 150.5 90% 60–90 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Boston University +4.3 147.8 67% 76–88 ✓
Charleston @ Northern Kentucky +5.5 146.4 74% 85–74 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Penn State +5.1 146.8 60% 80–46 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Wake Forest -0.5 160.0 44% 98–67 ✓
Lehigh @ Monmouth +6.8 142.2 69% 62–76 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Hofstra +8.0 144.1 74% 66–74 ✓
Southern @ Baylor +23.5 164.7 91% 67–111 ✓
Ole Miss @ NC State +10.8 146.1 82% 62–76 ✓
Stony Brook @ Marist +5.9 136.4 71% 51–70 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Alabama +21.8 170.1 90% 81–92 ✓
Murray State @ Valparaiso -6.4 151.0 27% 85–79 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +4.2 150.9 72% 69–73 ✓
Presbyterian @ Manhattan +0.6 134.4 45% 81–87 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Furman +5.4 146.0 73% 76–84 ✓
UIC @ Charlotte +4.7 134.8 69% 76–88 ✓
Maine @ Drexel +6.7 128.1 63% 56–74 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ George Mason +26.4 142.7 91% 79–86 ✓
Central Arkansas @ SMU +19.1 147.2 88% 82–99 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Notre Dame +17.3 148.2 88% 72–69 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Oklahoma State +16.5 165.9 88% 89–94 ✓
VMI @ Radford +9.7 152.2 82% 90–97 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Tennessee +31.9 150.0 91% 52–94 ✓
Cornell @ UAlbany -3.9 161.6 39% 83–75 ✓
Chattanooga @ Alabama A&M +6.1 134.3 68% 73–66 ✗
UNC Asheville @ UAB +11.8 144.2 83% 47–72 ✓
UMBC @ South Florida +18.3 150.8 88% 69–94 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Incarnate Word +5.6 133.7 70% 66–90 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +14.1 146.4 86% 78–75 ✗
New Hampshire @ Saint Louis +33.5 143.1 90% 79–93 ✓
Cincinnati @ Clemson +7.9 135.0 79% 65–68 ✓
La Salle @ Michigan +32.5 142.6 90% 50–102 ✓
Drake @ Evansville -5.3 145.0 32% 66–65 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M +19.8 155.0 89% 77–118 ✓
Florida A&M @ TCU +26.1 136.4 91% 56–80 ✓
North Florida @ Miami +30.8 158.9 91% 67–105 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State -0.5 147.9 47% 78–87 ✗
UConn @ DePaul -9.7 136.6 22% 72–54 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +15.1 146.7 88% 65–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Wichita State +14.0 142.1 87% 57–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State -4.7 155.9 34% 81–71 ✓
Columbia @ California +8.9 145.8 76% 56–74 ✓
Long Beach State @ Iowa State +33.0 154.6 91% 60–91 ✓
Gonzaga @ Oregon -8.0 151.0 21% 91–82 ✓
Campbell @ Minnesota +11.9 142.8 87% 50–78 ✓
UC Davis @ Idaho State +11.3 141.3 84% 93–83 ✗
Morgan State @ San Francisco +21.4 144.5 91% 64–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.