Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–16 on winners spread MAE 10.1 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Seton Hall +1.5 135.0 61% 69–70 ✓
UConn @ Oregon -4.8 138.0 28% 83–59 ✓
Purdue @ West Virginia +2.2 133.5 60% 80–68 ✗
Fresno State @ Vanderbilt +7.1 133.0 71% 59–67 ✓
Alabama @ Michigan State -5.7 141.5 22% 81–70 ✓
Washington @ Saint Mary's +11.5 127.2 79% 68–64 ✗
Portland State @ Gonzaga +3.6 162.2 67% 78–102 ✓
Siena @ Ole Miss +3.8 141.2 59% 62–74 ✓
Southern @ Loyola Maryland -7.8 139.4 24% 76–58 ✓
Ball State @ Vermont -4.1 138.9 33% 73–78 ✗
Jackson State @ Indiana +24.8 149.4 90% 51–90 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Alcorn State -1.5 129.4 45% 54–62 ✗
USC @ Wisconsin +2.4 131.3 58% 59–64 ✓
Texas A&M @ DePaul +4.9 147.9 71% 82–66 ✗
South Dakota State @ Valparaiso -6.1 143.1 27% 61–50 ✓
Florida State @ Stanford +6.8 137.8 73% 60–70 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Quinnipiac -1.5 152.9 48% 44–58 ✗
San Francisco @ Davidson +2.0 145.3 60% 80–89 ✓
Utah Tech @ North Dakota -0.3 149.3 49% 52–67 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ South Florida +9.9 129.7 84% 60–75 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Ohio +12.2 133.9 84% 67–78 ✓
Delaware @ Colgate +8.7 156.1 79% 72–68 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Harvard +10.9 139.7 83% 55–61 ✓
Cornell @ Monmouth -4.6 148.0 25% 81–63 ✓
UL Monroe @ Omaha +5.6 142.2 80% 56–63 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Missouri State +8.1 131.8 81% 68–54 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Samford +13.9 142.4 84% 79–76 ✗
Denver @ LSU New Orleans -6.7 149.4 25% 77–76 ✓
Portland @ Villanova -1.9 146.1 43% 83–71 ✓
Bellarmine @ Loyola Marymount +9.8 146.1 80% 59–80 ✓
Duke @ Xavier -2.7 141.7 37% 71–64 ✓
BYU @ Dayton +1.5 131.2 51% 79–75 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland +21.5 151.2 88% 79–95 ✓
Fairfield @ Towson +7.8 130.4 61% 74–69 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Washington State +6.8 144.0 74% 54–96 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UTEP +2.2 143.3 52% 67–72 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina +7.1 141.5 78% 53–68 ✓
Notre Dame @ St. Bonaventure -1.4 144.6 41% 51–63 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Montana State +5.3 132.9 70% 77–66 ✗
Hartford @ Pennsylvania +19.3 149.1 90% 55–75 ✓
North Carolina @ Iowa State +1.5 139.9 60% 65–70 ✓
Stony Brook @ Eastern Washington +5.7 129.5 73% 52–81 ✓
Nebraska @ Memphis +3.7 135.4 62% 61–73 ✓
San José State @ North Texas -2.8 128.7 43% 54–69 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia +28.5 137.2 91% 45–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ The Citadel +7.2 137.1 80% 53–74 ✓
Dartmouth @ Incarnate Word -4.7 141.8 43% 64–69 ✗
Oregon State @ Florida +4.4 137.6 69% 68–81 ✓
Evansville @ South Alabama +5.5 130.2 72% 67–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.