Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–9 on winners spread MAE 8.4 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +3.9 145.8 70% 68–78 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +8.9 131.9 81% 57–78 ✓
Canisius @ Niagara +8.8 135.8 78% 58–68 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +8.1 138.9 79% 60–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +3.4 144.4 58% 97–64 ✗
Butler @ Georgetown +2.3 138.0 61% 72–58 ✗
Colgate @ Navy +8.2 138.6 80% 69–50 ✗
UTSA @ Old Dominion +10.8 137.9 85% 51–83 ✓
North Texas @ Marshall -7.2 136.2 18% 69–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech +19.2 138.1 91% 57–80 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee +6.0 140.5 71% 57–70 ✓
UTEP @ Charlotte +2.3 142.5 63% 53–66 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +1.9 145.6 55% 80–86 ✓
Wright State @ Robert Morris -1.7 152.2 25% 75–73 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +4.9 140.0 64% 68–67 ✗
Oakland @ Cleveland State -1.5 149.7 42% 70–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.0 143.7 46% 60–62 ✗
VMI @ Mercer +0.6 146.9 53% 91–97 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ The Citadel -0.7 136.9 40% 69–74 ✗
Florida International @ UAB +16.6 148.6 88% 56–84 ✓
Tennessee State @ Murray State +18.4 151.5 90% 44–67 ✓
Sam Houston @ Lamar -4.0 136.2 26% 73–56 ✓
Chicago State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +7.0 146.7 77% 63–85 ✓
UIC @ Milwaukee -0.0 136.6 47% 81–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +8.6 124.1 83% 54–69 ✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State +7.7 146.9 78% 56–80 ✓
Louisiana @ UT Arlington +0.3 137.4 51% 73–83 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +3.2 144.9 63% 71–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota -9.1 155.3 19% 73–68 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Belmont +18.8 145.9 88% 77–92 ✓
South Dakota State @ Omaha -13.7 166.3 14% 95–86 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -13.2 131.4 13% 66–53 ✓
Rice @ Western Kentucky +5.6 154.3 72% 66–80 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +11.9 157.6 87% 74–84 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Grand Canyon +4.6 134.8 71% 68–95 ✓
Tarleton State @ New Mexico State +7.0 133.9 77% 57–73 ✓
Georgia State @ South Alabama +9.8 148.8 84% 65–74 ✓
Indiana @ Iowa +5.1 152.9 70% 74–83 ✓
Oregon @ UCLA +11.7 146.7 82% 84–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -0.5 149.5 46% 58–65 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +9.2 133.9 82% 64–79 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -4.3 124.9 36% 57–46 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +4.9 139.0 72% 63–68 ✓
BYU @ Gonzaga +10.7 150.6 84% 84–110 ✓
Oregon State @ USC +15.1 143.5 87% 71–81 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +17.1 154.0 90% 55–76 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -11.3 134.5 17% 77–62 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +11.6 137.6 86% 73–97 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i -6.0 131.3 32% 56–72 ✗
Buffalo @ Ball State -4.4 156.8 35% 74–68 ✓
Nebraska @ Purdue +21.6 160.6 91% 65–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.