That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–17 on winners spread MAE 8.9 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Wake Forest -0.8 150.6 46% 76–64 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +9.7 141.7 83% 69–71 ✓
LSU @ Florida -5.4 135.7 30% 64–58 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa +0.2 134.8 46% 69–64 ✗
Memphis @ UCF +2.0 150.3 61% 64–74 ✓
East Carolina @ Cincinnati +10.6 144.0 82% 71–79 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State +10.2 140.3 81% 62–76 ✓
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T +9.1 132.4 76% 59–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +10.1 134.4 84% 61–64 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +15.6 134.6 90% 52–67 ✓
Clemson @ Notre Dame +1.8 142.7 61% 56–72 ✓
Stony Brook @ Vermont +11.4 144.4 84% 65–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -2.2 131.9 45% 47–57 ✗
UMBC @ NJIT +1.6 140.6 60% 76–56 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island +5.7 140.1 73% 64–75 ✓
Duquesne @ Fordham +4.8 138.5 65% 71–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina -13.7 152.4 15% 59–70 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +8.1 143.2 78% 64–87 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman +8.9 145.0 80% 69–78 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +2.3 137.8 57% 66–73 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State +13.9 147.7 88% 72–88 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +16.7 140.2 91% 51–80 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate +0.2 142.2 58% 65–66 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +4.6 152.2 74% 72–77 ✓
Tulane @ Wichita State +7.9 144.3 75% 68–67 ✗
South Florida @ SMU +11.9 133.5 88% 65–77 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Missouri State +7.2 134.4 77% 76–81 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +12.1 153.2 85% 75–86 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +10.1 133.9 84% 47–79 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +11.4 156.4 86% 78–86 ✓
NC State @ Louisville +7.2 147.8 76% 79–63 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Virginia -1.2 126.9 48% 52–54 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Boston College +2.5 135.3 59% 81–76 ✗
TCU @ Kansas State +0.8 134.5 54% 60–57 ✗
Missouri @ Arkansas +12.2 153.0 86% 43–87 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern +5.4 144.3 73% 94–87 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -9.2 142.5 23% 84–70 ✓
California @ Washington -0.1 133.8 50% 55–64 ✗
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +7.1 145.4 79% 79–76 ✗
Utah Valley @ Seattle U -2.3 142.1 41% 65–71 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -3.6 140.1 35% 85–70 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Kennesaw State -1.2 152.9 48% 53–77 ✗
Seton Hall @ DePaul -3.7 147.2 35% 92–96 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +7.1 140.3 75% 62–57 ✗
Boston University @ Army -2.3 143.6 45% 63–73 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ App State +0.7 131.7 57% 60–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.