They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–12 on winners spread MAE 8.9 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gardner-Webb @ Florida State +13.2 146.5 83% 59–72 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware -0.2 137.3 49% 65–59 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Wagner +2.8 135.8 57% 46–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Washington State +10.8 129.7 80% 62–90 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -4.7 145.8 26% 72–63 ✓
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley +2.4 146.1 63% 69–66 ✗
Hampton @ Charleston Southern -1.1 133.1 32% 67–55 ✓
Charleston @ Georgia State +14.4 157.3 83% 55–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Butler +0.2 141.3 53% 76–73 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Baylor +36.6 155.9 91% 42–99 ✓
Longwood @ Virginia Tech +15.2 142.4 84% 58–84 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State +34.9 151.9 91% 48–87 ✓
Tulsa @ Memphis +9.6 140.5 79% 56–49 ✗
Little Rock @ Missouri State +7.4 148.3 78% 77–85 ✓
Northwestern State @ Gonzaga +32.4 163.4 91% 57–95 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Stanford +18.0 137.8 87% 50–63 ✓
Texas Southern @ BYU +12.8 139.1 85% 71–87 ✓
Murray State @ Austin Peay -1.9 143.1 45% 70–74 ✗
San José State @ Utah State +13.1 145.5 84% 62–107 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +12.2 136.0 80% 53–77 ✓
Maine @ Boston College +5.8 143.0 70% 62–78 ✓
Alcorn State @ Liberty +24.3 139.9 91% 65–108 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Indiana State +10.6 140.6 82% 66–72 ✓
William & Mary @ Virginia +18.9 135.4 89% 40–76 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +23.4 143.3 91% 55–78 ✓
Charlotte @ George Washington -0.1 137.3 45% 66–65 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Denver +7.0 143.7 75% 68–65 ✗
Hofstra @ Richmond +11.9 149.5 80% 76–71 ✗
Mercer @ Kennesaw State -9.0 134.6 22% 81–71 ✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan +0.8 133.9 52% 76–68 ✗
Ohio @ Akron -7.8 149.5 34% 70–90 ✗
Niagara @ UAlbany +3.7 127.3 60% 70–65 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Fairfield +2.5 142.4 43% 69–65 ✗
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +5.0 139.0 66% 62–53 ✗
Montana State @ Portland +0.6 152.0 53% 59–62 ✓
App State @ Auburn +12.5 137.8 82% 53–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ The Citadel +14.1 145.8 86% 82–94 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee State -8.8 139.7 23% 66–63 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina +7.5 133.5 75% 58–68 ✓
Colorado State @ Santa Clara -1.7 123.6 37% 70–57 ✓
James Madison @ VCU +22.2 141.5 90% 81–82 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +6.3 139.4 70% 70–75 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Wagner +3.6 133.3 68% 86–85 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +4.8 127.9 62% 64–69 ✓
Seattle U @ California +8.9 129.1 79% 65–70 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Arkansas +10.9 137.1 83% 72–85 ✓
UT Martin @ Ole Miss +23.2 138.3 90% 43–90 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina A&T -4.2 142.3 32% 86–65 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Marshall +12.1 152.4 82% 67–88 ✓
Hampton @ Charleston Southern -0.0 130.2 38% 70–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.