Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | ECU -210 TULN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -10.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -7.7 (+2.3) | 133.6 (-7.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -6.5 (+3.5) | 130.0 (-4.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -7.1 (+2.9) | 133.6 (-7.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -7.5 (+2.5) | 133.5 (-7.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TULN 79 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | ECU 73 – 64 TULN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TULN 86 – 81 ECU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ECU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TULN 81 – 78 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-11 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 2-10 | 4-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#111) | -3.3 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#27) | 0.09 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.14 (#20) | 0.04 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#44) | 0.466 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.