Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | WAG -330 SHU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -4.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+41.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -2.8 (-3.8) | 133.4 (+37.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -3.2 (-4.2) | 130.9 (+40.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -4.0 (-5.0) | 135.5 (+35.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -3.6 (-4.6) | 133.3 (+37.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#228) | -3.3 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#234) | -0.39 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#222) | -0.48 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#264) | 0.636 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 20.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.4% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 51.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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