Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | AKR +105 OHIO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +20 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -9.8 (+29.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.1 (+28.1) | 148.9 (+11.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -6.3 (+26.3) | 152.3 (+7.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -7.8 (+27.8) | 149.5 (+10.5) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 17-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#195) | 12.1 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#221) | 0.85 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#213) | 1.68 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#21) | 0.526 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 18.8% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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