Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | MOST +110 LR -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -8.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -8.7 (-0.7) | 148.5 (+13.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -7.4 (+0.6) | 148.3 (+13.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -8.6 (-0.6) | 150.4 (+11.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2021 | MOST 81 – 55 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#94) | 1.1 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#159) | 0.62 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#159) | 0.45 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#301) | 0.583 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 9.2% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 81.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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